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Buy Hold Sell is a fast-paced business and investing podcast, bringing you stock tips and investment ideas every Friday and every second Monday. Join Livewire’s Ally Selby as she quizzes Australia’s top fund managers and investment analysts on a range of local and global stocks, as well as ETFs. Learn about the forces moving equities markets, the potholes you should avoid, and the companies going from strength to strength - all in 10 minutes or less. Whether you are new to investing or a sea ...
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Lithium darling Pilbara Minerals has overtaken Flight Centre as the most-shorted stock on the ASX. After what seems like years at the top of the list, the travel company has dropped down to the 30th most-shorted stock on the ASX - with a short interest of 5.75%. Today, only two of the 10 most-shorted stocks are not miners - while out of the top 20,…
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Locally, founder-led businesses have been making headlines for all the wrong reasons. Take the downfall of Australian tech billionaire Richard White of WiseTech Global, for example, or the tax scandal claims circling Mineral Resources' Chris Ellison. On the global stage, founders can be far more divisive. Elon Musk is now being sued by Philadelphia…
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We are only a week away from the US election - and it's arguably still anyone's guess who could win. Currently, betting markets have former US President Donald Trump at a 59% chance of winning a second term next week. That's despite Democrat nominee Kamala Harris leading in some of these same betting polls just one month ago. So, what would a Trump…
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With the US Federal Reserve cutting its cash rate by 50 basis points in September, Fitch Ratings predicts that the upper US federal funds target will fall to 4.5% by the end of the year, 3.5% by the end of 2025, and 3.0% by June 2026. Meanwhile, JP Morgan expects the Fed will cut by another 50 basis points in November. Looking out over the next few…
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Founder-led companies typically outperform their peers over the long term. Driven by a strong alignment of interest, a founder's long-term focus, and emotional dedication to a business's success, companies with founders at the helm are seen to be a safer bet than those with hired suits. Take Milford Asset Management, for example, which found the th…
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With decades of experience under their belts, it's fair to say that Ellerston's Chris Kourtis and Airlie's Matt Williams know a thing or two about investing. While their styles differ quite widely - Chris is a contrarian and Matt's all about quality and solid balance sheets - they both have their eyes keenly focused on their next opportunity. Inter…
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Each year, a fund manager is added to the Hall of Fame. It's an illustrious list, including only the best of the best Australian funds management talent - the likes of Olev Rahn, Kerr Neilson, Peter Morgan, Anton Tagliaferro, Catherine Allfrey and more. Given another name will be added to the list later this month, we've called on the big guns - Ha…
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For years, experts have predicted a coming surge for copper. BHP, for instance, believes that copper demand will grow by around 70% to over 50 million tonnes (Mt) a year by 2050. For context, the total copper demand in 2023 was 31 million tonnes. But copper prices haven't really gone anywhere over the last three years - sitting at around the mid-US…
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Uranium prices have cascaded 23% since hitting a high early in the year, now trading at around US$81/lb. However, Argonaut's David Franklyn believes this is a "pretty good long-term price" - arguing that while demand growth will be substantial, supply will eventually kick in. Despite that, some of the ASX's uranium darlings have still had a pretty …
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Gold prices are trading at all-time highs, with the yellow metal soaring more than 38% over the last 12 months alone. The "safe haven" commodity's price has been driven by continued economic uncertainty, rising geopolitical tensions, a weakening US dollar, and net purchases of gold by global central banks - particularly emerging market central bank…
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Investors love a dividend. Not only do they help provide investors with passive income during even the rockiest periods in markets, but they also make up a significant portion of Australian investors' total return over the long term. While the current outlook for dividends for the Aussie market may not be super hot, some stocks are boosting their d…
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Let’s face it: We’re all capable of being mesmerised by headlines. Whether it's a cracking headline on Livewire or an attractive headline price at the shops ($199 is always more appealing than $200), we’re often reluctant to read the fine print or understand what’s going on beneath the surface. But that reluctance can get you into trouble, particul…
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While the August reporting season was mixed itself, the dividend outlook isn't so rosy. Companies are hoarding their cash, with the payout ratio of the Australian market falling from 62% pre-COVID to 53% today, according to Martin Currie. The dividend yield for the Australian stock market has also fallen in recent years, with the All Ords now yield…
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If you feel like your portfolio has taken a hit over the last month, spare a moment of silence for shareholders in stocks like Johns Lyng Group, Audinate, Tabcorp, Megaport, A2 Milk, Kelsian, Mineral Resources, EML Payments, Yancoal, Star Entertainment, Cettire, Liontown, Neuren Pharmaceuticals, Red Hill Minerals, and Boss Energy. All in all, 117 c…
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Just like the leaders and losers of the ASX 200 in 2024, the August reporting season has been a tale of two halves. According to FNArena's corporate results monitor, 36% of companies have missed analyst expectations this results season, while 30.4% have delivered beats. 33.7% of companies delivered results that were in line with analyst expectation…
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We've seen some real whiplash market moves this reporting season. Take Megaport, for instance, which fell 21% in one trading day. Or Audinate, which fell 36% on its preliminary results. Or, on the other side of that, WiseTech, which soared more than 18% on its stellar report. But what about the stocks that didn't move, or hardly moved at all - desp…
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Cash flow is a great measure that allows investors to get a good look at how well a company is balancing its earnings against its expenses. Companies with positive and growing cash flows can hire talented people, invest in innovation, make acquisitions, buy back shares and pay dividends. And there are a few companies on the ASX that are currently s…
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Management teams can make or break a business. Good management teams focus on a company's long-term success, are aligned with shareholders, and are usually good stewards of capital. Bad management teams, however, may make "transformational acquisitions" that aren't in the best interest of a business, take on too much debt, dilute shareholders, and …
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Like most things in life, stock sell-offs come down to simple supply and demand. If there are more sellers than buyers, a company's share price will fall. But in today's market, nearly 30 companies now trade at 52-week lows and many others have suffered double-digit losses over the last 12 months. So, are these oversold companies value traps or inv…
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Growth stocks had been on a tear in 2024, with investors betting big on rate cuts at the end of the year and throughout 2025. The last month, however, has been a slightly different story. The NASDAQ 100 has dropped more than 13% since hitting a peak on July 10. And while our local tech tracker, the S&P All Tech Index (XTX) held up relatively well t…
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It's no secret that the ASX is incredibly concentrated. 50% of the ASX 200 is made up of banks and miners. In the top 10 stocks on the ASX alone, only three (CSL, Wesfarmers and Goodman Group) don't fit within the financial or materials sectors. The S&P/ASX 200 Financials index has risen 23.99% over the last 12 months, while the Banks index has pus…
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It's not shaping up to be an easy reporting season, with weakening consumer sentiment and business conditions, as well as a softening labour market, taking a toll on Australia's listed companies. That said, while analysts believe earnings will disappoint this August results season, with Goldman Sachs and Macquarie predicting a 3.8% and 6% drop resp…
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There are many market maxims that investors hold close to their hearts. Here are just a few of them: It's time in the market not timing the market. Buy the rumour, sell the fact. Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful! It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you're righ…
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Back in May, Livewire sat down with the chief investment officer of a family office - i.e. the steward of a billionaire client's wealth. The main takeaway, for this anonymous writer at least, was that Australia's ultra-wealthy are on the hunt for concentrated, high-conviction funds - those that hold a smaller number of stocks, look very different f…
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Growth stocks have had a truly spectacular 12 months, with many fortunes being made from investing in stocks like NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) and Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI), which have soared 154% and 170%, respectively. In the last year alone, the NASDAQ 100 has lifted 26% - meaning, over the past five years, the bourse is now up 153%. Ahh! The…
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Healthcare stocks have been some of Australia's most consistent wealth generators, with stocks like CSL (ASX: CSL) skyrocketing more than 6000% since listing on the ASX 25 years ago. Over the past 20 years, the S&P/ASX Health Care Index has far outperformed the rest of the market, lifting 994% compared to the S&P/ASX 200's 121% over that same perio…
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Consumer stocks are split into two distinct categories - those that are sensitive to economic cycles (discretionaries) and those that aren't (staples). Both, however, have been on a tear over the past 12 months, despite a cost of living crisis that is continuing to take a bite out of Australians' wallets. Take Lovisa, for instance, which has soared…
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Over the past 12 months, the S&P/ASX All Tech Index has soared more than 28%, while the tech-heavy NASDAQ has skyrocketed nearly 33%, with investors betting big on the revolutionary change promised by artificial intelligence. That's not to say there aren't risks - inflation remains stickier than we would have hoped, interest rates are likely to sta…
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Everyone loves a theme these days. Whether you’re an individual investor looking to capitalise on both short and long-term trends, or a product issuer looking to provide access to opportunities, themes are dominating the way we think and the way we invest. And while themes will fall in and out of fashion (lithium, for example), it is important for …
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Boy oh boy, it has been a big first half. Interest rate expectations have whipped around, sticky inflation has confounded central banks, most commodities are surging - paticularly silver and gold - and AI has lit a fire under.... well, everything. Did we miss anything? That's right, the ASX 200, like many global markets, is trading at all time high…
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End of financial year can be a drag. With tax time upon us, we need to give up an evening, possibly a weekend, to get our affairs in order. But EOFY also affords us the opportunity to look over our investment portfolios, pat ourselves on the back for what has gone well, and undertake the cathartic experience of culling the underperformers. It has b…
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Franking credits are important for many investors, particularly those operating in a low or no-tax environment. A company paying a 5% fully franked yield, for example, gets grossed up to around 7% after franking. Juicy. More than half of the companies listed on the S&P/ASX200 either fully pay or partially pay franked dividends, and it is important …
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There are currently 10 stocks with double-digit yields on the ASX, exactly half the amount there was this time last year. While double-digit yields certainly sound enticing, investors should be aware that they could indicate that the market believes a company has limited growth prospects, a falling share price, or a one-off dividend. For those not …
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With interest rates up 4.25% in the space of two years, investors have entered a Goldilocks era for income. But while many retirees live happily off the income generated by some of the market’s dividend stalwarts, there are potential traps out there. To help ensure you’re investing in companies with sustainable dividend yields, Livewire's Ally Selb…
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Do you spend your days searching for the next spicy mining stock headed for the moon, a biotech promising revolutionary health advances, or a tech company changing the status quo? If that sounds like you, you've come to the right place. While Buy Hold Sell typically focuses on companies at the larger end of the market cap spectrum, this week, we're…
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From 1981 to 2022, the MSCI World Quality Index outperformed the MSCI World Index by 2.6% per year - while the growth and value styles generated returns that were pretty much identical to the broader market. So, is the trend your friend? In this episode, Livewire's Ally Selby was joined by IML's Daniel Moore and Tribeca Investment Partners' Jun Bei…
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Time and time again, investment experts tell us punters the same thing - that earnings drive share prices. When earnings per share is positive and continues to grow in each reporting period, it means that your share in a company's profit pie is continuing to grow as well. Higher EPS can often translate to a company's share price trading higher, as …
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If there is one thing investors have heard on repeat over the last 12 months, it's that there's a massive opportunity in small-cap stocks, which were, at the time, massively undervalued compared to their large-cap counterparts. And while experts' predictions seem to have come to fruition, with the Small Ordinaries Index outperforming the ASX 100 si…
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Given interest rates remain at decade-long highs, and hopes of cuts continue to be pushed out into the future, it may be surprising for some that growth companies have continued to go from strength to strength. The S&P/ASX 200 Growth Index, for example, has risen 7.76% over the past 12 months. In comparison, the S&P/ASX 200 Value Index has lifted j…
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Growth stocks are the bread and butter of investors who are happy to stomach typically higher prices for exceptional above-market earnings growth. These companies typically exhibit high earnings and sales growth, a unique product or service, significant market share in their industries, impressive moats, and loyal customers. Take WiseTech Global, f…
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Just as in science, catalysts are the starting point for major change or action in life. It may be a whistleblower whose revelations lead to significant systemic change, or an enzyme that helps speed up a chemical reaction. In investing, however, catalysts trigger a drastic change in a stock's share price trajectory. And while no one can know the f…
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Want to learn how to identify undiscovered stocks before the rest of the market does? Of course, you do - what else are you going to talk about at your next dinner party... Or at the pub over a lukewarm beer... Or around the office coffee machine? In this episode, Livewire's Ally Selby was joined by LSN Capital's Nick Sladen and Elston Asset Manage…
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There's something to be said about discovering a gem of a stock the rest of the market missed. Like uncovering a musician before the world does, or being the first to watch a TV series before everyone else's eyes are glued to the same screen. It's a great feeling - and one that may leave you asking, 'Am I better than everyone else?' In most cases, …
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As the name would suggest, future-facing commodities are those that will carry humanity forward as we take on the momentous task of decarbonising the world. These are the commodities that are essential to the energy transition, including lithium, nickel, cobalt, manganese, graphite and copper. Much of the demand for these commodities is expected to…
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There are a couple of hot commodities right now, including uranium, cocoa, and gold. The latter exploded higher in February this year after being stuck in a range for the best part of five years. Several reasons have been posited for gold's renaissance, the primary being that investors who expect the Fed to cut rates have been buying the commodity.…
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The law of supply and demand determines commodity prices. Currently, the uranium market is undersupplied, just as more nuclear reactors requiring fuel are being brought online. Some reports suggest the market will remain in structural undersupply for more than a decade. It’s one thing for an underlying commodity to rally. Where the rubber meets the…
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Over the last five, 10, 15 and 20 years, mid-cap stocks have managed to outperform both their large and small-cap counterparts. They've done this with the same volatility as small caps and, over the last decade, they've grown earnings at around 7.5% per annum - more than double that of the small and large-cap indices. So, why is this? According to …
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Unless you've been living under a rock, you've probably noticed it's been an incredibly strong six months for global markets. The ASX 200, for instance, has rebounded 13% over the past six months, while the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 have soared 23% and 24% respectively over that same period. Elsewhere in the world, the UK's FTSE 100 has lifted 6% in s…
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In 2016, Bain & Company found that the companies most successful at maintaining profit growth over the long term disproportionately were companies where the founder was still running the business, still involved on its board, or where the principles the founder originally put in place persisted. That's because founders possessed these three traits:…
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By now, you’re probably aware of the stats highlighting the growth of ETFs in Australia (if not, they’re available here). Alright, alright already, we get it… they’re very popular. But just because something is popular, doesn’t always mean it is good, or that people know how to use it effectively (think Q-tips, running shoes, and Taylor Swift songs…
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