Evan Miyakawa, a statistics Ph.D. from Baylor and college basketball analytics expert, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How to build a college basketball team now (1:15). Michigan (4:58). Florida (10:24). How the player and team ratings work at EvanMiya.com (12:33). Cooper Flagg of Duke (17:33). Who is Joseph Tugl…

We take a one week break from sports to bring you a story of going to the Buffalo Trace Distillery.

Carl Sack, a professional sports bettor who has gone by NBA Guru, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Model driven NBA betting (4:22). Preparing for the NBA season and adjusting on teams (10:19). Data driven situational analysis (17:30). How his model changed with the Luka Doncic trade (27:55). The Football Analytics…

Philadelphia RB Saquon Barkley has crushed it this season, but will his success continue in the Super Bowl. I update previous research that suggested a huge random component in explosive plays. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated…

Conner Allen and Ryan Noonan of the Move the Line podcast join me for a wide ranging conversation on the Super Bowl and props in particular. Highlights include: Game analysis (1:00). Models vs subjective handicapping in NFL props (9:55). Data driven tackle and assist props (14:04). Chris Jones sack prop (19:34). Isiah Pacheco prop (22:42). JuJu Smi…

Kansas City had an unsustainable 12-0 record in games decided by eight or fewer points this season. This episode looks at QB career record in one score games to determine how far Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes will regress. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To g…

Evan Silva, co-founder of Establish the Run and NFL analyst extraordinaire, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Washington at Philadelphia (1:30). How the Eagles defense plays the Commanders (4:48). Buffalo at Kansas City (12:12). Evan's preseason take on Josh Allen (17:42). A player prop bet (22:43). How Ben Johnson…

Chinamaniac, a professional sports bettor, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His journey from poker to sports betting (1:04). His process for betting college football props (8:42). Prop bet for Ohio State vs Notre Dame (12:33). How handicapping the game impacts props (18:21). Why a pro bettor would give away inform…

Cynthia Frelund of The NFL Network, a football analytics expert, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Houston at Kansas City (1:07). Washington at Detroit (8:05). Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia (14:16). Baltimore at Buffalo (20:25). Deion Sanders to Dallas (24:49). The quarterback connector (28:58). The Football Ana…

Matt Perrault, the co-host of Bostonian vs Book and host of the Daily Juice podcast, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His journey to the sports betting world (1:26). Doing a podcast 365 days a year (6:23). Notre Dame vs Penn State (11:14). Ohio State vs Texas (14:44). Washington at Tampa Bay (17:49). Green Bay at …

Collin Wilson, senior writer at The Action Network and college football expert, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Collin's process for breaking down games (1:17). Indiana at Notre Dame (2:43). SMU at Penn State (8:50). Clemson at Texas (16:31). Tennessee at Ohio State (25:30). The Football Analytics Show is present…

In this solo episode, host Ed Feng gives an actionable nugget on all 12 college football teams in the 2024 playoff. This includes: Clemson (:17), SMU (1:53), Indiana (2:59), Tennessee (4:40), Ohio State (6:01), Notre Dame (7:23), Penn State (8:56), Texas (10:04), Arizona State (11:25), Boise State (12:52), Georgia (13:59), Oregon (15:13). The Footb…

Matt Freedman, the head of betting at Fantasy Life, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Two very different NFL bets (0:56). How Matt projects player stats like yards, touchdowns (5:56). Dealing with old QBs like Aaron Rodgers, Kirk Cousins (9:00). Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City (15:36). NFL MVP market (21:07). T…

Matt Waldman, creator of the Rookie Scouting Portfolio, a football resource based on thousands of hours of watching tape, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Anthony Richardson (1:30). Caleb Williams (17:33). The politics of the NFL (24:33). Matt's weekly schedule during the season (36:14). The Football Analytics Sho…

Tej Seth, football analytics expert and co-host of the Stats and Scheme podcast, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Detroit Lions (1:06). Kansas City at Buffalo (6:49). Tennessee at Georgia (10:22). College Football Playoff (16:20). Arizona Cardinals (23:26). The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Ran…

Ryan Noonan, the betting content manager at 4for4 Football, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: An NFL rushing prop bet (1:36). Ryan's process for sides vs props (8:14). NFL sack props (13:37). Detroit at Houston (17:13). Miami at Los Angeles Rams (21:13). Pittsburgh Steelers futures bet (24:41). The Football Analyti…

Clevta, an NFL analytics and betting expert, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: A bet for NFL Week 9 (1:31). Cleveland Browns QB situation (6:32). Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland (15:33). Detroit at Green Bay (19:04). The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytic…

Mike Craig, a professional sports bettor, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: 5 college football bets for week 9 (1:03). Illinois at Oregon (5:51). Navy vs Notre Dame (9:06). Penn State (13:44). Colorado (20:28). Life as a professional sports bettor (20:51). Prepping for college basketball (28:31). The Football Analy…

Connor Allen, the Director of Betting at Betsperts Group and co-host of the Move the Line podcast, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: An NFL prop bet for week 7 (1:47). Connor's process for handicapping props (6:51). New York Jets and WR Davante Adams (12:50). Buffalo and WR Amari Cooper (15:19). Cleveland Browns (1…

Edward Egros, a professor of California Lutheran University and football analytics and betting expert, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Los Angeles Chargers at Denver (1:51). Texas vs Oklahoma (8:16). Ohio State at Oregon (11:32). The Heisman Trophy (14:50). Buffalo at New York Jets (26:15). The Football Analytics…

Fabian Sommer, an NFL bettor and content creator at The Hammer, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His quantitative and mental models for NFL betting (1:33). Predicting injuries (6:26). Bet on New Orleans at Kansas City (10:50). Bet on Carolina at Chicago (17:32). Jared Goff (21:45). Minnesota Vikings (26:34). The F…

Bob Stoll, founder of Dr. Bob Sports and the gold standard in football handicapping, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Bob's college football handicapping process (1:32). A college football bet for week 5 (6:52). Player talent ratings (13:14). Georgia at Alabama (15:43). Clemson (19:25). Michigan QB situation (21:1…

Rufus Peabody, one of the most successful professional sports bettors and founder of Unabated, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The Unabated college football futures simulator (1:24). Dynamic uncertainty in football simulators, college and pro (6:07). Modeling the playoff committee behavior (9:19). On going work t…

Kevin Cole, football analytics expert and founder of Unexpected Points, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Week 1 overreaction to young quarterbacks (1:40). Adjusted QB efficiency (6:04). Advanced review of Rams at Lions on Unexpected Points (10:38). Predictions, Rams at Cardinals in particular (15:32). Green Bay Pa…

Edward Egros analyzes the chances that San Francisco, Dallas and the Los Angeles Rams play in the Super Bowl in the 2024 NFL season. He also offers three bets as part of his analysis. The 60 Minute Guide to the 2024 Football Season is an audiobook with two deep dive, analytics for sports betting stories. To check it out on Spotify, click here: http…

Rob Pizzola, professional sports bettor and CEO of The Hammer betting content network, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: New York Jets at San Francisco, NFL Week 1 bet (2:31). Tampa Bay and Baker Mayfield (8:27). Rob's NFL betting process (10:43). NFL props (19:51). Chicago Bears (22:47). Carolina Panthers (28:04).…

Ed Feng has idenified 3 overrated college football teams every season since 2015, and he has been right with two out of every three predictions. In 2024, he expands his arsenal of tools to find another three overrated teams. The 60 Minute Guide to the 2024 Football Season is an audiobook with two deep dive, analytics for sports betting stories. To …

JJ Zachariason, a fantasy football expert who runs his own site at LateRoundQB.com, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The Late Round Draft Guide for fantasy football (0:57). Game theory in fantasy football drafts (4:35). The one piece of advice for people new to fantasy football drafts (10:11). How injuries impact …

The 60 Minute Guide to the 2024 Football Season is an audiobook with two deep dive, analytics for sports betting stories. Think John Oliver with a math Ph.D. To check it out on Spotify, click here: https://open.spotify.com/show/7EJkoJXlF7LCiy5ekOt2c6 The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics …

Edward Egros outlines a general criteria for betting the Heisman before breaking down three contenders with value. Two play in the SEC, while the third comes from a smaller Big 12 program. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list…

Bill Connelly, a college football analytics expert that writes for ESPN, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Georgia (:36). Ohio State (4:10). Michigan (7:33). Wisconsin (10:45). Colorado (14:23). Texas A&M (21:10). Big 12 randomness (26:02). Heisman trophy (30:56). Jalen Milroe (33:27). Frontiers in college football…

The West Coast will invade the Big Ten conference in 2024. Edward Egros breaks down the newcomers to the Big Ten, which include a national title contender, a surprise top 20 team and two more that could go bowling. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugge…

Ben Stevens, the host of multiple shows on SportsGrid, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How he became Big Ten Ben (1:17). Two college football bets (3:40). Clemson (8:39). Ohio State (12:16). Michigan (21:59). Rutgers (24:15). Penn State (30:06). The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site d…

Clevta, a sharp NFL analyst and bettor, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: An NFL bet on the Minnesota Vikings (1:21). His 2024 NFL preview (6:59). Philadelphia Eagles (12:52). Detroit Lions (22:10). Ohio State (26:07). The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytic…

Drew Dinsick, a distinguished quantitative bettor and co-host of the Deep Dive podcast, joins me for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: An overview of Olympic betting (1:18). Are there market making books for Olympics? (6:21). How Drew uses his swimming background to bet (11:33). An Olympics swimming bet (25:45). An NFL insight into t…

Host Ed Feng introduces a new project: an audio preview for the 2024 football season that contains two in depth, data driven stories. He describe the project and then reads a sample about making accurate NFL spread predictions early in the season. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for…

Luke Swain, a football and draft betting expert who goes by Vegas Refund, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His journey from DFS to sports betting (:45). The difference between NFL and NBA draft betting (5:56). His process for betting the NBA draft, which includes wisdom of crowds (13:05). Two NBA draft bets (18:00…

Peter Bukowski, host of the Locked On Packers podcast, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Why the Packers offense surged in 2023 (0:54). Evidence for the excellence of coach Matt Lafleur as a play caller (4:06). New Packers DC Jeff Hafley (10:31). Detroit Lions (18:50). Which team should be favored to win the divisi…

Gill Alexander, tennis handicapper and the host of A Numbers Game on VSIN, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His quantitative process for betting tennis (0:47). A French Open bet (6:34). The men at the French Open (10:08). Tennis after Nadal and Djokovic (16:51). Why sports is better now (19:37). The Football Analy…

Jim Sannes, the managing editor of digital media at FanDuel, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation on the Super Bowl weekend of motorsports. Highlights include: Model building for motorsports (1:26). Simulating motorsports results (7:50). The differences between Nascar and Formula 1 (11:20). Coca-Cola 600 (20:20). Monaco Grand Prix (24:55)…

To generate preseason NFL rankings, The Power Rank takes market win totals and backs out a rating for each team. This analysis singles out a single team from the NFC South with by far the easiest schedule for the 2024 season. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To …

Arif Hasan, owner of the Wide Left NFL substack, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His composite NFL big board to evaluate talent (:43). How to quantify the accuracy of the consensus big board (7:25). The two people that beat the consensus big board (10:35). Interesting players to watch based on the 2024 big board …

Kevin Cole, football analytics expert and founder of Unexpected Points, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Are tight ends like Brock Bowers overrated? (1:29). An NFL draft bet (4:10). The trajectory of JJ McCarthy (8:10). Arizona with the 4th pick (12:32). Another NFL draft bet based on wisdom of crowds (18:25). The…

Matt Waldman, who creates the Rookie Scouting Portfolio based on countless hours of watching film, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The difficulty in projecting JJ McCarthy (2:34). Why quarterbacks fail in the NFL (14:46). How to improve NFL QB development (24:05). Bryce Young, Jordan Love (29:10). How to tell whe…

Ryan O'Hanlon, the author of the excellent Net Gains: Inside the Beautiful Game's Analytics Revolution and writer for ESPN, joins the show to discuss Champions League. Highlights include: The one thing to take home from Net Gains (0:42). Man City vs Real Madrid (5:39). Bayern Munich vs Arsenal (15:28). Dortmund vs Atletic Madrid (22:26). Barcelona …

Aaron Barzilai has a Stanford PhD and has worked for multiple NBA teams. He has also founded HerHoopStats.com, a comprehensive site for women's college basketball and WNBA analytics, and joins the show to discuss the 2024 Final Four. Highlights include: South Carolina, coach Dawn Staley vs North Carolina State (0:42). Iowa vs Connecticut (8:50). Of…

With the new rules in college basketball, transfers can make a big impact on a team. Edward Egros explores the data behind transfers and breaks down the impact on teams like Kansas, North Carolina State and Gonzaga. Bracket Wisdom is a daily series on The Football Analytics Show to get you ready to win your March Madness pool. To get your free chea…

You love March Madness because of the upsets, the underdog that slays the huge favorite. Edward Egros looks at the last five colossal upsets and spots trends in these games. Bracket Wisdom is a daily series on The Football Analytics Show to get you ready to win your March Madness pool. To get your free cheat sheet that makes it drop dead easy to fi…

Data and analytics are very good at predicting the outcome of March Madness. However, you might choose to go against the numbers in your bracket. This episode explores the cognitive science behind why you are still considering that 12 over 5 seed upset. Humans are worse than rats in dealing with randomness, and this has consequences in filling out …

Do college basketball teams that perform better on the road have an edge in the NCAA tournament? Conversely, do teams that only thrive at home fail in March? Edward Egros looks at the evolution of home court advantage and how teams perform on the road compared to home. He identifies three teams to fade in the 2024 NCAA tournament. Bracket Wisdom is…