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Predicting the next bitcoin peak with Checkmate

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Manage episode 444175414 series 3516333
Content provided by Unchained Capital, Inc and Unchained Capital. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Unchained Capital, Inc and Unchained Capital or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://ro.player.fm/legal.

In this episode, we sit down with James Check to tackle common misconceptions in bitcoin, from misunderstood on-chain metrics to the real impact of long-term holders. We break down key market indicators, discuss risks of audience capture, and explore whether bitcoin is set for slow, steady growth or another 80% drop. We also dive into the relevance of entity-adjusted metrics, the potential impact of ETFs, and how Checkmate optimizes bitcoin allocation strategies. Looking ahead, we speculate on bitcoin’s role in future portfolios, touch on large-scale gold buying, and even consider whether aliens might have their own version of bitcoin.

SUPPORT THE PODCAST:

→ Subscribe

→ Leave a review

→ Share the show with your friends and family

→ Send us an email podcast@unchained.com

→ Learn more about Unchained: https://unchained.com/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=video&utm_campaign=TBF-podcast-description

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 Introduction

01:40 What is one thing you think most people are wrong about?

08:14 Misinterpreted on-chain metrics and long-term holders

13:00 Key metrics to watch for market tops

19:10 Protecting against audience capture in bitcoin narratives

22:44 Slow grind up vs fast exponential growth?

25:48 Will bitcoin fall another 80% at some point?

29:25 Bitcoin was not a ZIRP phenomenon

30:10 Optimizing DCA and portfolio allocations through cycles

35:00 How accurate are “entity-adjusted” on-chain metrics?

41:10 Do ETFs destroy the potential usefulness of on-chain analytics?

46:35 Decades from now, how much bitcoin is in a typical portfolio?

50:50 Who is buying gold in size now?

56:50 Do aliens exist and did they discover their own bitcoin?

1:02:50 Closing thoughts

WHERE TO FOLLOW US:

→ Unchained Twitter: https://twitter.com/unchainedcom

→ Unchained LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/unchainedcom

→ Unchained Newsletter: https://unchained.com/newsletter

→ Joe Burnett’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/IIICapital

→ Checkmate’s Twitter: https://x.com/_Checkmatey_

  continue reading

52 episoade

Artwork
iconDistribuie
 
Manage episode 444175414 series 3516333
Content provided by Unchained Capital, Inc and Unchained Capital. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Unchained Capital, Inc and Unchained Capital or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://ro.player.fm/legal.

In this episode, we sit down with James Check to tackle common misconceptions in bitcoin, from misunderstood on-chain metrics to the real impact of long-term holders. We break down key market indicators, discuss risks of audience capture, and explore whether bitcoin is set for slow, steady growth or another 80% drop. We also dive into the relevance of entity-adjusted metrics, the potential impact of ETFs, and how Checkmate optimizes bitcoin allocation strategies. Looking ahead, we speculate on bitcoin’s role in future portfolios, touch on large-scale gold buying, and even consider whether aliens might have their own version of bitcoin.

SUPPORT THE PODCAST:

→ Subscribe

→ Leave a review

→ Share the show with your friends and family

→ Send us an email podcast@unchained.com

→ Learn more about Unchained: https://unchained.com/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=video&utm_campaign=TBF-podcast-description

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 Introduction

01:40 What is one thing you think most people are wrong about?

08:14 Misinterpreted on-chain metrics and long-term holders

13:00 Key metrics to watch for market tops

19:10 Protecting against audience capture in bitcoin narratives

22:44 Slow grind up vs fast exponential growth?

25:48 Will bitcoin fall another 80% at some point?

29:25 Bitcoin was not a ZIRP phenomenon

30:10 Optimizing DCA and portfolio allocations through cycles

35:00 How accurate are “entity-adjusted” on-chain metrics?

41:10 Do ETFs destroy the potential usefulness of on-chain analytics?

46:35 Decades from now, how much bitcoin is in a typical portfolio?

50:50 Who is buying gold in size now?

56:50 Do aliens exist and did they discover their own bitcoin?

1:02:50 Closing thoughts

WHERE TO FOLLOW US:

→ Unchained Twitter: https://twitter.com/unchainedcom

→ Unchained LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/unchainedcom

→ Unchained Newsletter: https://unchained.com/newsletter

→ Joe Burnett’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/IIICapital

→ Checkmate’s Twitter: https://x.com/_Checkmatey_

  continue reading

52 episoade

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