))
Understanding Excess Mortality in the COVID-19 Pandemic
Manage episode 453924587 series 3602245
Content provided by by SC Zoomers and By SC Zoomers. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by by SC Zoomers and By SC Zoomers or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://ro.player.fm/legal.
Today, we delve into the critical concept of excess mortality as a key indicator of the COVID-19 pandemic's true impact. Drawing from comprehensive analyses by the World Health Organization (WHO) and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), we explore how excess mortality—defined as the difference between observed deaths and expected deaths based on historical trends—provides a broader understanding of the pandemic's toll beyond confirmed COVID-19 deaths.
We discuss the staggering global estimate of 14.83 million excess deaths reported by the WHO, which exceeds confirmed COVID-19 fatalities by a factor of 2.74. Our exploration highlights geographic disparities, with regions like South-East Asia facing the most severe peaks, particularly during the devastating wave in India.
Additionally, we unpack the methodological challenges in estimating excess mortality, including the limitations of mortality surveillance systems in various countries. The episode covers the sophisticated modeling techniques employed by the WHO, including Bayesian frameworks and predictive covariates, as well as the CDC's use of Farrington surveillance algorithms to detect significant increases in deaths.
With quotes from leading reports, we emphasize the importance of improving global mortality surveillance to accurately assess the long-term consequences of the pandemic and enhance public health preparedness for future crises.
Sources:
14.9 million excess deaths associated with the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021
https://www.un.org/en/desa/149-million-excess-deaths-associated-covid-19-pandemic-2020-and-2021
COVID-19 Mortality Overview
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/covid19/mortality-overview.htm
Excess Deaths Associated with Covid-19
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm
The WHO estimates of excess mortality associated with the COVID-19 pandemic
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-05522-2
About SCZoomers:
https://www.facebook.com/groups/1632045180447285
https://x.com/SCZoomers
https://mstdn.ca/@SCZoomers
https://bsky.app/profile/safety.bsky.app
Spoken word, short and sweet, with rhythm and a catchy beat.
http://tinyurl.com/stonefolksongs
Curated, independent, moderated, timely, deep, gentle, evidenced-based, clinical & community information regarding COVID-19. Since 2017, it has focused on Covid since Feb 2020, with Multiple Stores per day, hence a large searchable base of stories to date. More than 4000 stories on COVID-19 alone. Hundreds of stories on Climate Change.
Zoomers of the Sunshine Coast is a news organization with the advantages of deeply rooted connections within our local community, combined with a provincial, national and global following and exposure. In written form, audio, and video, we provide evidence-based and referenced stories interspersed with curated commentary, satire and humour. We reference where our stories come from and who wrote, published, and even inspired them. Using a social media platform means we have a much higher degree of interaction with our readers than conventional media and provides a significant amplification effect, positively. We expect the same courtesy of other media referencing our stories.
102 episoade
Distribuie
